The Premier League‘s Easter weekend of action is rounded off on Monday when Chelsea welcome Burnley to Stamford Bridge.
Last season’s meeting between the pair in SW6 proved to be a turning point in Antonio Conte‘s reign as, despite it being the opening weekend, the Blues’ 3-2 defeat unearthed issues that would plague them throughout 2017-18.
In contrast, Burnley went on to enjoy an exceptional campaign, finishing seventh and qualifying for the Europa League. That extra demand on their time has hurt the Clarets this time around but they appear safe in 15th and as the 12/1 underdogs, can treat their trip to the capital as a bit of a shot to nothing.
Chelsea still have plenty to play for and after booking their spot in the semi-finals of the Europa League on Thursday, are also still hoping to secure a top-four finish.
With the race for the Champions League spots so tight, every point counts but they were impressive against the Clarets in their most recent meeting, winning 4-0 at Turf Moor back in October.
While his tactics have been criticised, Maurizio Sarri has seen his side dominate at home, collecting 17 of the last 21 points available on their own patch, with draws against Southampton and Wolves the only blemishes.
Sarri’s side are rightly the 3/10 favourites for the win on Monday, with the draw 5/1 but Burnley do have momentum behind them having won their last three games and 16/5 Anytime Goalscorer offering Chris Wood looks dangerous after three goals in two matches.
One goal conceded in three games is back to where Sean Dyche‘s side are more accustomed to being but they will need to be wary of Eden Hazard. The Belgian is on a rare run of three matches without a goal but with 24 for club and country this season, can be backed at 13/5 to break the deadlock.
A late strike may also be worth a look in this one, with a goal after 80 minutes in four of Chelsea’s last five at home in the Premier League and 10/11 looks fair for the last goal to be scored after 76 minutes.
The same can be said for the 11/10 on Both Teams to Score, with that occurring in seven of the last 10 meetings.
All in all, Chelsea should have too much though, and considering the factors discussed, taking a punt on the 15/8 for a home win and BTTS might well be worth considering.